That's exactly what Neil deGrasse Tyson offers up by way of a New York Times editorial. He reports on a study of the election soon to be published by the journal Mathematical and Computer Modeling that takes a new look at the statistical modeling of political polls. Using data from the 2004 election, this model correctly predicted the winner in 49 of 50 states.
DeGrasse Tyson used their model and applied it to the 2008 race. His findings? "If the general election were held today, Mr. Obama would win 252 electoral votes as the Democratic nominee, while Mrs. Clinton would win 295. In other words, Barack Obama is losing to John McCain, and Hillary Clinton is beating him,” said deGrasse Tyson in his editorial.
He goes on to add that things can change greatly between no and November, which is quite true. Still, in the age of political pundits blathering 24/7 via the web and cable news, it’s interesting to have some non-pundits take a look at the race.
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